Description of task
WP5, task 3: Long-term projections into the 21st century with the help of improved coupled climate models.
Most global climate model predict an extreme reduction of perennial sea ice in the Arctic. To assess physical impacts of such a possible future changes of Arctic conditions, validated and improved models from WP4 will be utilized to perform global and regional climate scenario runs. The objective is to study the physical impact of a simulated arctic sea ice change during the 21st century to demonstrate the potential of improved DAMOCLES models. Individual realizations (example cases) of possible future arctic climate are used to qualitatively focus on robust arctic and global feedback processes in response to an expected reduction of arctic ice cover.
This work is based on the developments and predictability assessments in WP4. Therefore, scenario runs cannot be performed during the first 18 months.
