WP4: Integration and data assimiliation in large-scale modelling and forecasting
This core theme aims to integrate observations and modelling by combining output from the observation-and process-oriented themes 1-3 (and IPY and non-DAMOCLES observations) with dedicated regional and global scale numerical modelling.
WP leader: R. Doescher: ralf.doescher(a)smhi.se
WP co-leader: H. Drange: helge.drange(a)nersc.no
This WP is divided into 3 tasks.
Topics:
- - General description of WP
- - Task 4.1 Model sensitivity and studies combining models with observation
- - Task 4.2 Predictability and improved simulations capabilities
- - Task 4.3 Enhancement of observational data sets by data assimilation and analysis
- - Deliverables, milestones and workshops 2007
- - Deliverables, milestones and workshops 2008
Arctic sea ice in IPCC climate scenarios in view of the 2007 record low sea ice event
In September 2007, the Arctic sea ice extent reached a new record low of 4 million km2, about 1 million km2 lower than the preceding record low in 2005. The 2007 event is unprecedented in observed history. Here we try to summarize the current state of the discussion regarding the causes of this event and to which extent a prediction of such extreme events by models can be expected. (Mar 25, 2008)
Poster from the 2009 Brussels symposium
Download the task 4.2 poster presented at the 2009 DAMOCLES symposium in Brussels. (Mar 18, 2008)
Results from the 2009 Sea Ice Outlook
DAMOCLES submitted four contributions to the 2009 Sea Ice Outlook. One of these forecasts turned out to be the closest of to the actual the ice extent in 2009. (Mar 4, 2008)
Poster from the 2008 general assembly
Download the task 4.3 poster presented at the 2008 general assembly in Sopot, Poland. (Mar 3, 2008)
From the press
- Canada picks site for Arctic research station >>
[Nature, Aug 25, 2010] - North by Northwest >>
[National Snow and Ice Data Center (NSIDC), Aug 17, 2010] - Giant Greenland iceberg a climate 'warning sign' >>
[AFP, Aug 13, 2010] - Ice island could threaten oil, shipping >>
[Detroit News/Reuters, Aug 12, 2010] - July sea ice second lowest: oldest ice begins to melt >>
[National Snow and Ice Data Center (NSIDC), Aug 4, 2010] - A change in atmospheric circulation >>
[National Snow and Ice Data Center (NSIDC), Jul 20, 2010] - Rapid ice loss continues through June >>
[National Snow and Ice Data Center (NSIDC), Jul 6, 2010] - Arctic sea ice extent declines rapidly in May >>
[National Snow and Ice Data Center (NSIDC), Jun 8, 2010] - Scientists study the thin ice of Greenland >>
[Wales Online, Jun 2, 2010] - Decline of the polar bear >>
[Simcoe Reformer, May 28, 2010]
DAMOCLES is a european contribution to the International Polar Year 2007 - 2008.
DAMOCLES is financed by the European Union in the 6th Framework Programme.
